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fractional cointegration types; survival analysis; statistical modelling; likelihood; econometric methodology; the teaching and …
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expenditure sectors. At the second stage an econometric model is proposed which includes the nonstationary cointegration type and …
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This article was prepared for the Special Issue "Celebrated Econometricians: Katarina Juselius and Søren Johansen" of Econometrics. It is based on material recorded on 30-31 October 2018 in Copenhagen. It explores Katarina Juselius’ research, and discusses inter alia the following issues:...
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There are simple well-known conditions for the validity of regression and correlation as statistical tools. We analyse by examples the effect of nonstationarity on inference using these methods and compare them to model based inference using the cointegrated vector autoregressive model. Finally...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009767620
We consider cointegration tests in the situation where the cointegration rank is deficient. This situation is of … interest in finite sample analysis and in relation to recent work on identification robust cointegration inference. We derive … asymptotic theory for tests for cointegration rank and for hypotheses on the cointegrating vectors. The limiting distributions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012025653
We develop novel multivariate state-space models wherein the latent states evolve on the Stiefel manifold and follow a conditional matrix Langevin distribution. The latent states correspond to time-varying reduced rank parameter matrices, like the loadings in dynamic factor models and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011945700
This paper provides some test cases, called circuits, for the evaluation of Gaussian likelihood maximization algorithms of the cointegrated vector autoregressive model. Both I(1) and I(2) models are considered. The performance of algorithms is compared first in terms of effectiveness, defined as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011781891