To evaluate how well economic models predict behavior it is important to have a measure of how well any theory could be expected to perform. We provide a measure of the amount of predictable variation in the data that a theory captures, which we call its "completeness." We evaluate the...

The use of American style equity options as hedging instrument has gained currency in recent times. This phenomenon devolves from the ever-expanding need by individuals, corporations and governments to hedge away their financial risks and the clarion call for derivative securities that give the...

A quantitative analysis on the pricing of forward starting options under stochastic volatility and stochastic interest rates is performed. The main finding is that forward starting options not only depend on future smiles, but also directly on the evolution of the interest rates as well as the...

An enhanced option pricing framework that makes use of both continuous and discontinuous time paths based on a geometric Brownian motion and Poisson-driven jump processes respectively is performed in order to better fit with real-observed stock price paths while maintaining the analytical...

We assess the predictive accuracy of a large number of multivariate volatility models in terms of pricing options on the Dow Jones Industrial Average. We measure the value of model sophistication in terms of dollar losses by considering a set 248 multivariate models that differ in their...

In this paper, we investigate the behavior of the bitcoin (BTC) price through the vanilla options available on the market. We calibrate a series of Markov models on the option surface. In particular, we consider the Black-Scholes model, Laplace model, five Variance Gamma related models and the...

In several countries, classical options markets coexist with markets for bank-issued options, also termed warrants. It is an open question if warrant issuers purely adopt options market information about future volatility or if they contribute to volatility discovery by their own. As a result,...

We evaluate the performance of common stock trade classification algorithms including the quote, tick, Lee and Ready (1991), and Ellis, Michaely, and O’Hara (2000) rule to infer the trade direction of option trades. Using a large sample of matched intraday transactions and Open/Close data, we...

• It is not widely emphasized in the literature that derivatives are complex random quantities which should, by custom, be characterized by their probability density functions. • It is understood that Black-Scholes style of derivatives pricing represents an expected value, i.e. the...