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We evaluate real estate investment trust (REIT) responses to the release of REIT-specific and macroeconomic news over two periods with differing economic climates. More specifically, using high-frequency data, we track the response function over a period of 60 minutes following each...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013088200
This study examines the relationship between the level of futures trading activity in five currencies and the variability in the underlying exchange rate changes. The conditional variance from the GARCH model is employed as the proxy for the exchange rate volatility. The evidence indicates that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012790036
This paper examines the information content of implied volatility for crude oil options as it relates to future realized volatility. Using data for the period 1996 to 2011 we find that implied volatility is an effective predictor of the month-ahead realized volatility. We show that implied...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012937326
This paper examines the information content of risk-neutral moments to explain crude oil futures returns. Implied volatility and higher moments are extracted from observed crude oil option prices using a model-free implied volatility framework and the Black-Scholes model. We find a tenuous and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012937485
To establish stock-versus-flow orientations of a commodity, the mediating role of inventories in price formation is considered. This framework is tested by examining responses of COMEX gold, silver, and copper to macroeconomic news releases. Standard responsiveness-tests, which ignore the role...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012940416
We investigate short-term index options for behavioral biases implied in prospect theory (PT). Intraday price and transactions patterns generally support the theory. Losers are seen to be relatively risk seeking and winners to be risk averse, with the former effect appearing stronger. On...
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