Some past studies of credit risk ratings migration have found trend reversals and evidence that the data generating process is non-stationary. Using a sample of FCS mortgages, we find no compelling statistical evidence of either phenomenon. We do find evidence that our sample of loans may be...

The characterization of obligor ratings dynamics as a Markov chain is a common assumption in credit risk modeling. While a continuous time Markov chain is most appealing due to the potential for more robust transition probability estimates, the cost of continuously monitoring obligor ratings can...

Commercial feed blending is a complex process consisting of many potential raw ingredients and final products. The sheer number of daily orders and final products at a typical feed mill means that raw ingredients cannot be mixed to directly produce final products in an economical fashion. As a...

Mortgage termination is important when considering risk management at financial institutions and can generally be of two types: default and prepayment. Data consisting of 1,060 fixed rate mortgages collateralized by farm real estate to dairy producers made by AgChoice ACA from January 1, 2001...

U.S. banking markets have undergone important structural and institutional changes. Overall, the sector has experienced steady consolidation through mergers and acquisitions that have resulted in fewer banks holding a greater value of the total assets. Despite consolidation, new branch offices...

Farmers need information about the expected value and variability of net revenues for alternative crop insurance and futures hedging strategies to manage risk. Specifically, the model will determine which risk management strategies are most desirable under various levels of risk aversion. The...