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Does the exchange rate regime matter for inflation and economic activity? This paper argues that it does and that there … after pegging the currency to a more credible anchor, the average economy benefits from persistently lower inflation of 3 ….5% per year, higher temporary economic growth and lower inflation volatility. Moreover, the less credible countries are the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013289154
We examine the role of the exchange and interest rate channels during recent deflation episodes in Japan, Hong Kong and China. We estimate open-economy structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) models for the three economies with different monetary regimes and varying degrees of openness. In both...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014225267
This paper investigates the effects of Switzerland’s real effective exchange rate (REER) on its current account. Using dynamic empirical methods, we focus on exchange rate movements that are unrelated to real and monetary developments, i.e., those more likely to be driven by the Swiss...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014264334
strategies may be well described by Taylor rules with a time-varying inflation target, a time-varying natural rate of … benchmark model that does not account for changes in trend inflation and trend unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013015703
explain the observed exchange rate and inflation variability as well as the fact that the regression and VAR estimates tend to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098580
This paper analyzes the domestic and external inflation determinants for eight non-eurozone new EU member states (NMS … inflation determinants. This paper aims to fill this gap and add to the literature by several methodological and empirical … inflation into its domestic and foreign component via historical decomposition analysis. Results indicate that foreign shocks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011006971
This paper investigates the international spillovers of government debt and the associated risk of inflation within a … inflation at the cost of the funded country. In response to these conflicting interests about inflation, inflation risk may rise … with the level of debt in the PAYG country. Higher inflation risk harms both countries. Actually, in contrast to the debt …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257504
This paper examines the presence of nonlinear mechanisms in the exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) to CPI inflation for … three macroeconomic factors, namely inflation rate, exchange rate fluctuations and business cycle. Our results reveals that … exchange rate transmission is higher when inflation rate surpass some threshold. We give a supportive evidence to the Taylor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011258090
The decline in the sensitivity of inflation to domestic slack observed in developed countries over the last 25 years … also the bigger ones) enter the export market. They tend to transmit less marginal cost fluctuations into inflation because … the proportion of large firms reduces the pass-through of marginal cost into inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011196011
inflation in the euro zone, dividing the sample in two groups of countries: core and periphery. Then we test if the euro … inflation dynamics. Using a dynamic panel data framework based on an exchange rate pass-through model, we estimate the … factor, in determining the asymmetry in HICP inflation between core and periphery. The nominal effective exchange rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011206970