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Age Structure Explaining a Large Shift in Homicides: The Case of the State of São Paulo
de Mello, João Manoel Pinho; Schneider, Alexandre - 2007
After reaching a historic peak by the end of the 1990s, homicides in large cities in the state of São Paulo dropped …-25 age bracket and homicides at the statewide and at city levels, and argue that the relationship is causal. We estimate that … a 1% increase in the proportion of 15-to-24-year-old males causes a 4.5% increase in homicides. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011807373
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Reassessing the Demography Hypothesis: the Great Brazilian Crime Shift
Mello, João M. P. De - 2010
Mimicking the US in 1980 and 1990s, Brazil is a remarkable case of a major shift in homicides. After increasing … steadily throughout the 1990s and the beginning of the 2000s, homicides reached a peak in 2003, and then fell. I show a strong … state in the country, and whose shift in homicides has been particularly acute. City-level panel elasticities are similar to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011807403
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Reassessing the Demography Hypothesis: the Great Brazilian Crime Shift
Mello, João Manoel Pinho de - Departamento de Economia, Pontifícia Universidade … - 2010
Mimicking the US in 1980 and 1990s, Brazil is a remarkable case of a major shift in homicides. After increasing … steadily throughout the 1990s and the beginning of the 2000s, homicides reached a peak in 2003, and then fell. I show a strong … state in the country, and whose shift in homicides has been particularly acute. City-level panel elasticities are similar to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008682903
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The role of demographics in precipitating crises in financial institutions
Macunovich, Diane J. - 2009
There are significant effects of changing demographics on economic indicators: growth in GDP especially, but also the current account balance and gross capital formation. The 15-24 age group appears to be one of the key age groups in these effects, with increases in that age group exerting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271339
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The age for austerity? : population age structure and fiscal multipliers
Kopecky, Joseph - 2021
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012888082
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Macroeconomic Effects and Policy Challenges of Population Aging
Faruqee, Hamid; Tamirisa, Natalia T. - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2006
This paper simulates the macroeconomic effects of population aging in a dynamic overlapping generations model of a small open economy. The model is calibrated to data for the Czech Republic, where population aging is proceeding at a pace comparable to that in other advanced countries in Europe....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264152
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Demographic Transition in the Middle East; Implications for Growth, Employment, and Housing
Bhattacharya, Rina; Yousef, Tarik; Dhonte, Pierre - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2000
The working age population is expected to grow faster in the Middle East than in any other region in the world between now and 2015—rising annually by 2.7 percent, or 10 million people. This demographic explosion presents the region with a major challenge in terms of providing jobs, incomes,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264176
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Growing older and growing apart? : population age structure and trade
Kopecky, Joseph - 2023
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014276094
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The Global Impact of Demographic Change
Callen, Tim; McKibbin, Warwick J.; Batini, Nicoletta - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2006
The world is in the midst of a major demographic transition. This paper examines the implications of such transition over the next 80 years for Japan, the United States, other industrial countries, and the developing regions of the world using a dynamic intertemporal general equilibrium...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826038
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Demographic Change in Asia; The Impacton Optimal National Saving, Investment, and the Current Account
McDonald, Ian; Bésanger, Serge; Guest, Ross - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2000
This paper calculates the levels of optimal national saving, investment, and the current account balance for five Asian economies—Hong Kong SAR, Japan, Singapore, Malaysia, and the Philippines—for the period 1997–2050 using a simulation approach. These calculations show the sensitivity of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826103