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This paper develops a testing framework for comparing the predictive accuracy of copula-based multivariate density forecasts, focusing on a specific part of the joint distribution. The test is framed in the context of the Kullback-Leibler Information Criterion, but using (out-of-sample)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326216
This paper develops a novel approach to modeling and forecasting realized volatility (RV) measures based on copula functions. Copula-based time series models can capture relevant characteristics of volatility such as nonlinear dynamics and long-memory type behavior in a flexible yet parsimonious...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009293998
This discussion paper resulted in a publication in the 'Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control' (forthcoming).<P> This paper develops a testing framework for comparing the predictive accuracy of copula-based multivariate density forecasts, focusing on a specific part of the joint distribution....</p>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257469
This paper develops a novel approach to modeling and forecasting realized volatility (RV) measures based on copula functions. Copula-based time series models can capture relevant characteristics of volatility such as nonlinear dynamics and long-memory type behavior in a flexible yet parsimonious...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257654
This paper develops a testing framework for comparing the predictive accuracy of copula-based multivariate density forecasts, focusing on a specific part of the joint distribution. The test is framed in the context of the Kullback-Leibler Information Criterion, but using (out-of-sample)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013082931
Working within the framework of a finite population, dynamic inventory optimization model where future demand is endogenous to inventory policy, this paper considers the effect of customer referrals and forced exit from the market caused by the loss of market share due to customer defections....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013080566
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009317703
Using responses of credit default swap indexes to ECB monetary policy announcements, we isolate a novel credit policy component of monetary policy surprises. We examine how such unconventional monetary policy surprises affect investor perceptions of credit risk and the functioning of primary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014239580