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Who will vote quadratically in large-N elections under quadratic voting (QV)? First, who will vote? Although the core QV literature assumes that everyone votes, turnout is endogenous. Drawing on other work, we consider the representativeness of endogenously determined turnout under QV. Second,...
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Prominent theory research on voting uses models in which expected pivotality drives voters' turnout decisions and hence …
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The majority runoff system is widely used around the world. Yet, our understanding of its properties and of voters' behavior is limited. In this paper, we fully characterize the set of strictly perfect voting equilibria in large three-candidate majority runoff elections. Considering all possible...
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-index method counts the number of variables for which a candidate rates favourably, and the forecast is that the candidate with the … traditional econometric election forecasting models. The method can be used in combination with simple linear regression to …-of-sample forecasts of the two-party popular vote for the four elections from 1996 to 2008 yielded a forecast error almost as low as the …
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