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Cuñat, Alejandro; Zymek, Robert - 2020

Epidemiological models assume gravity-like interactions of individuals across space without microfoundations. We … of people across space obey a structural gravity equation. By means of an application to data from Great Britain we show … that our structural-gravity framework: provides a rationale for quarantines; offers a clear mapping from observed geography …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012219352

The (Structural) Gravity of Epidemics

Cuñat, Alejandro - 2020

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833717

Trade collapse during the covid-19 crisis and the role of demand composition

Simola, Heli - 2021

We examine the role of demand composition in explaining the trade collapse and recovery during the ongoing covid-19 crisis. We apply an import-intensity-adjusted measure of demand to examine import trends in 40 advanced and emerging economies over the period 1Q95 to 4Q20. We focus on the crisis...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012649491

Labour mobility and labour market adjustment in the EU

Arpaia, Alfonso; Kiss, Áron; Palvolgyi, Balazs; … - 2015

This paper assesses macroeconomic determinants of labour mobility and its role in the adjustment to asymmetric shocks. First, the paper develops stylised facts of mobility at the national and sub-national levels in the EU. Then, it explores the macroeconomic determinants of bilateral migration...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011326538

Bill of Lading Data in International Trade Research with an Application to the COVID-19 Pandemic

Flaaen, Aaron; Haberkorn, Flora; Lewis, Logan T.; … - 2021

We evaluate high-frequency bill of lading data for its suitability in international trade research. These data offer many advantages over both other publicly accessible official trade data and confidential datasets, but they also have clear drawbacks. We provide a comprehensive overview for...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013323437

Trade Collapse During the COVID-19 Crisis and the Role of Demand Composition

Simola, Heli - 2021

We examine the role of demand composition in explaining the trade collapse and recovery during the ongoing covid-19 crisis. We apply an import-intensity-adjusted measure of demand to examineimport trends in 40 advanced and emerging economies over the period 1Q95 to 4Q20. We focus on the crisis...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013211442

Improving the Short-Term Forecast of World Trade During the COVID-19 Pandemic Using Swift Data on Letters of Credit

Carton, Benjamin; Hu, Nan; Mongardini, Joannes; Moriya, Kei - 2021

An essential element of the work of the Fund is to monitor and forecast international trade. This paper uses SWIFT messages on letters of credit, together with crude oil prices and new export orders of manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI), to improve the short-term forecast of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013252036

The Risk of Limitation of Attraction of Foreign Migrants to the Russian Agriculture Amid the Pandemic

Potapova, Aleksandra - 2020

The closure of borders between countries in the wake of the outbreak of the coronavirus COVID-19 suspended the flows of the international labor migration, thus creating risks to the agriculture, particularly, fruit farming and horticulture. In this survey, the information is presented on the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014096076

From L.A. to Boise : How Migration Has Changed During the COVID-19 Pandemic

Haslag, Peter H.; Weagley, Daniel - 2021

We provide an assessment of how migration patterns and motivations for moving have changed during the COVID-19 pandemic. We use proprietary data on over 300,000 residential, interstate moves over the last four years with accompanying survey data. We find more than 10% of moves between April...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013237078

Trade in times of uncertainty

Matzner, Anna Hilda; Meyer, Birgit; Oberhofer, Harald - 2023

and economic welfare using a structural gravity framework for a panel of 97 developed and developing countries from 2000 …-sectional gravity approach, we show that an uncertainty shock directly reduces cross-border trade flows. The paper illustrates the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013550200

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