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hedging strategies, and assessing risk. Most investors estimate the stock-bond correlation simply by extrapolating the …Investors rely on the stock-bond correlation for a variety of tasks, such as forming optimal portfolios, designing … historical correlation of monthly returns and assume that this correlation best characterizes the correlation of future, annual …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012225162
Using a modified DCC-MIDAS specification that allows the long-term correlation component to be a function of multiple … explanatory variables, we show that the stock-bond correlation in the US, the UK, Germany, France, and Italy is mainly driven by … portfolios in terms of portfolio risk. While optimal daily weights minimize portfolio risk, we find that portfolio turnover and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011745369
In this work we use Recurrent Neural Networks and Multilayer Perceptrons, to predict NYSE, NASDAQ and AMEX stock prices from historical data. We experiment with different architectures and compare data normalization techniques. Then, we leverage those findings to question the efficient-market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012834485
explain risk premium. Investigating whether these factors are useful in forecasting stock returns remains active research in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014235825
. These seven scripts contain the Dynamic Conditional Correlation (DCC) framework, Instantaneous Frequency Forecasting (IFF …) framework, Regularised Covariance Regression (RCR) framework, Risk Premia Parity (RPP) weighting functions, Singular Spectrum … RCR framework to forecast covariance and correlation structures and finally apply portfolio weighting strategies based on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014253907
interval representing the LSTM's parameter uncertainty. Finally, resulting death rates are showed through a back …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012834239
We survey the nascent literature on machine learning in the study of financial markets. We highlight the best examples of what this line of research has to offer and recommend promising directions for future research. This survey is designed for both financial economists interested in grasping...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322889
correlation predictions. The volatilities are here forecast using hybrid neural networks while correlations follow a traditional …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013211314
For stock market predictions, the essence of the problem is usually predicting the magnitude and direction of the stock price movement as accurately as possible. There are different approaches (e.g., econometrics and machine learning) for predicting stock returns. However, it is non-trivial to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013305881
The correlation between stock markets and interest rates has been discussed in numerous studies in the past, with … which allow for time-variability and regime changes in correlation. All estimated models allowing for timevarying … correlation complement each other in identifying time-varying patterns found in the (co-)movement between the variables …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009625556