This study applies various popular technical trading rules to Asian property market indices from 1995 to 2015 to investigate the profitability of these rules. The results validate the predictive and profitability power of technical indicators in the markets of Indonesia, Malaysia, Taiwan, and...

This paper tests for the ability of a variety of technical indicators to generate excess returns at the individual stock level in the seven emerging and frontier markets of the Gulf region. While technical indicators show some early profitability promise, after controlling for the data snooping...

Sarkar, Salil

We find that an investor can earn abnormal profits in the long-run using Forbes Platinum list of the 400 best big companies. Our trading strategy is based on results of an event study. When using the four-factor model of Carhart (1997), our results show that buying and holding the ten lowest...

This article investigates the random walk behavior of CIVETS (Colombia, Indonesia, Vietnam, Egypt, Turkey and South Africa) foreign exchange rates against the US dollar using weekly data from February 2007 to April 2012. Using variance ratio tests, the results suggest that the nominal exchange...

We examine the evolving efficiency of UK stock market and currency (British Pound) during the last three centuries. Using both Automatic Variance Ratio (AVR) and Automatic Portmanteau (AQ) tests, we find evidence of time-varying degree of efficiency which supports the Adaptive Markets Hypothesis...

Events such as the European sovereign debt crisis, terrorism and Brexit cause more uncertainty and volatility in capital markets. This encourages us to use both conditional and unconditional forecasts (back-tests) for expected shortfall (ES) in 8 indices of listed European real estate securities...

We apply the sequential unit root tests of Phillips et al. (2015) for mildly explosive processes to identify and date-stamp bubbles in the emerging and frontier African stock markets. We find periods of explosive behavior in the price–dividend ratio in several markets which is indicative of...

This article examines the pricing efficiency of Bitcoin Investment Trust. We investigate the deviation between prices and net asset values and find that there is a significant and persistent premium with an average of 44%. Such evidence points to pricing inefficiency of the currently available...

I examine the return predictability of the Indonesian stock-market during 1984–2016, in rolling windows, using an automatic portmanteau test and an automatic variance ratio. I find that the market's efficiency and predictability vary over time — consistent with the adaptive market hypothesis...