In this paper we propose a simple and efficient method to compute the ordered default time distributions in both the homogeneous case and the two-group heterogeneous case under the interacting intensity default contagion model. We give the analytical expressions for the ordered default time...

In this paper, we propose a two-sector Markovian infectious model, which is an extension of Greenwood's model. The central idea of this model is that the causality of defaults of two sectors is in both direction, which enrich dependence dynamics. The Bayesian Information Criterion is adopted to...

Corporate defaults may be triggered by some major market news or events such as financial crises or collapses of major banks or financial institutions. With a view to develop a more realistic model for credit risk analysis, we introduce a new type of reduced-form intensity-based model that can...

In this paper, we study an optimal investment problem under joint initial-time and intermediate-time Value-at-Risk regulations and a portfolio insurance (PI) constraint on terminal wealth faced by a defined-contribution pension fund manager. The objective is to maximize the expected utility from...

In this paper, we study a continuous time structural asset value model for two correlated firms using a two-dimensional Brownian motion. We consider the situation of incomplete information, where the information set available to the market participants includes the default time of each firm and...

In the aftermath of the global financial crisis, much attention has been paid to investigating the appropriateness of the current practice of default risk modeling in banking, finance and insurance industries. A recent empirical study by Guo et al.(2008) shows that the time difference between...

Over the last decade, China’s P2P lending industry has been seen as an important credit source but it has recently suffered from a wave of bankruptcies. Using 126,090 P2P loan deals from RenRen Dai, one of the biggest online P2P websites in China, this paper attempts to predict credit default...

In this paper we discuss the Malliavin differentiability of a particular class of Feller diffusions which we call $\delta$-diffusions. This class is given by \begin{equation*} d\nu_t=\kappa(\theta-\nu_t))dt \eta \nu_t^{\delta}d\mathbb W_t^2, \delta\in[\frac{1}{2},1] \end{equation*} and appears...

In this paper, we propose a Markov Chain Quasi-Monte Carlo (MCQMC) approach for Bayesian estimation of a discrete-time version of the stochastic volatility (SV) model. The Bayesian approach represents a feasible way to estimate SV models. Under the conventional Bayesian estimation method for SV...

We study the hedging problem for European-style options written on crude-oil futures. Locally risk-minimizing hedging strategies are derived under the assumption that the dynamics of crude-oil futures are described by a Merton-type jump-diffusion. These are then tested empirically using...