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We study disinflations under imperfect credibility of the central bank. Imperfect credibility is modeled as the extent … to which agents rely on adaptive learning to form expectations. Lower credibility increases the mean, variance, and … skewness of the distribution of sacrifice ratios. When credibility is low, disinflationary policies become very costly for …
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citizens in January 2019 that is designed to measure long-term inflation expectations and the credibility of the inflation … target. Our results indicate that credibility has decreased in our sample period, particularly in the course of the deep … several years, credibility has declined mainly because Germans increasingly expect that inflation will be much higher than 2 …
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We use a representative online survey to investigate the inflation expectations of German consumers and the credibility … of the ECB's inflation target during the recent high inflation period. We find that credibility has trended downwards …
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does not satisfactorily examine key fiscal and monetary policy practices that arguably affect policymaking credibility … addenda, the results generally suggest that credibility proxies are largely sensitive to research design. However, some data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014122385
A parsimonious model of shifting policy regimes can simultaneously capture expected and actual US inflation during 1969-2005. Our model features a forward-looking New Keynesian Phillips curve and purposeful policymakers that can or cannot commit. Private sector learning about policymaker type...
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