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We establish a class of fully nonlinear conditional expectations. Similarly to the usage of linear expectations when a probabilistic description of uncertainty is present, we observe analogue quantitative and qualitative properties. The type of nonlinearity captures the agents sentiments of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010477162
The paper discusses criteria for comparing risk aversion of decision makers when outcomes are multidimensional. A weak concept, commodity specific greater risk aversion , is based on the comparison of risk premia paid in a specified commodity. A stronger concept, uniformly greater risk aversion...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011581523
We consider the allotment problems of homogeneous indivisible objects among agents with single-peaked and risk-averse von Neumann-Morgenstern expected utility functions. We establish that the rule satisfies coalitional strategy-proofness, same-sideness, and strong symmetry if and only if it is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003490404
In this paper we give an alternative characterization for time-consistent sets of measures in a discrete setting. For each measure \mathbb{P} in a time-consistent set \mathcal{P} we get a distinct set of predictable processes which in return decribe the \mathbb{P} uniquely. This implies we get a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003980916
The paper develops an axiomatic framework for rational decision making. The von Neumann-Morgenstern axioms give rise to a richer risk attitude than that captured in the standard discounted expected utility model. I derive three models that permit a more comprehensive risk evaluation. These...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009533970
Most models of ambiguity aversion satisfy Anscombe-Aumann's Monotonicity axiom. This paper proposes a test of Monotonicity, the Allais Horse Race. It is an adaptation of the Allais paradox to a setting with both subjective and objective uncertainty. Viewed as a thought experiment, the Allais...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011347526
We implement an experiment to elicit subjects’ ambiguity attitudes in the spirit of Ellsberg’s three-color urn. The procedure includes three design elements that (together) have not been featured in similar experiments: Strict ambiguity preferences, a single decision, and a mechanical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010360878
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011544234
The results of an experiment extending Ellsberg's setup demonstrate that attitudes towards ambiguity and compound uncertainty are closely related. However, this association is much stronger when the second layer of uncertainty is subjective than when it is objective. Provided that the compound...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011457763
Epstein and Schneider (2007) develop a framework of learning under ambiguity, generalizing maxmin preferences of Gilboa and Schmeidler (1989) to intertemporal settings. The specific belief dynamics in Epstein and Schneider (2007) rely on the rejection of initial priors that have become...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010424809