We use a standard consumption-based asset pricing model incorporating conditioning information to explain the risk-return profile of currency carry trade portfolios. In contrast to previous work, we use a scaled stochastic discount factor instead of scaled or managed portfolio returns. Our...

A major puzzle in international finance is the inability of models based on monetary fundamentals to produce better out-of-sample forecasts of the nominal exchange rate than a naive random walk. While prior research has generally evaluated exchange rate forecasts using conventional statistical...

We study the cross-section of expected corporate bond returns using an intertemporal CAPM with three factors; innovations in future excess bond returns, future real interest rates and future expected inflation. Our test assets are a broad range of bond market index portfolios of different...

A major puzzle in international finance is the inability of models based on monetary fundamentals to produce better out-of-sample forecasts of the nominal exchange rate than a naive random walk. While prior research has generally evaluated exchange rate forecasts using conventional statistical...

In this paper, we investigate the value versus growth strategies from the perspective of stochastic dominance. Using half century US data on value and growth stocks, we find strong evidence that value stocks stochastically dominate growth stocks in all three-order of stochastic dominance...

We re-visit long-run performance after IPOs using a model-free stochastic dominance approach that allows us to compare the empirical distribution of portfolio payoffs while incorporating assumptions about investors' preferences. Our main results are as follows. First, we find that investors, who...

Studies of long-run stock price abnormal performance aftercorporate events are plagued by difficulties in statistical inference and the inevitable joint hypothesis problem in tests of market efficiency. In this paper, we study long-run performance using a 'model-free' stochastic dominance...

We re-visit the long-horizon underperformance following seasoned equity offerings (SEOs) from an asset allocation perspective. We focus on the economic value, to a mean-variance investor, of investing in a SEO portfolio relative to a set of benchmark portfolios. As a result, we are able to avoid...