Extensive empirical studies on the rationality of expectations as defined by Muth have revolved around tests on a … single series of forecast data, with results differing widely across studies. Rationality as an assessor characteristic has … long been of interest in economic theory and practice. However, as non-replicated events, single series tests do not …

rationality of aggregate stock-market forecasts. The BRT algorithm endogenously selects the predictor variables used to proxy the …