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The asymmetry in the tail dependence between U.S. equity portfolios and the aggregate U.S. market is a well-established property. Given the limited number of observations in the tails of a joint distribution, standard non-parametric measures of tail dependence have poor finite-sample properties...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013006268
Spot electricity prices are very volatile, particularly due to the fact that electricity cannot be economically stored and requires immediate delivery. However, the inability to store electricity means that fluctuations in demand and supply are often transmitted directly into spot prices of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013061457
Tail dependence characterizes cross market linkages during periods of extreme price behavior. Analyzing tail dependence can richly inform market participants, in particular those operating across several markets how to understand price risk. A copula approach is therefore employed to assess the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013061545
This paper provides a strategy for portfolio risk management by inferring extreme movements in financial markets. The core of the provided strategy is a statistical model for the joint tail distribution that attempts to capture accurately the data generating process through an extremal modelling...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010206955
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This paper investigates whether multivariate crash risk is priced in the cross- section of expected stock returns. Motivated by a theoretical asset pricing model, we capture the multivariate crash risk of a stock by a combined measure based on its expected shortfall and its multivariate lower...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011993538
Systemic risk quantification in the current literature is concentrated on market-based methods such as CoVaR(Adrian and Brunnermeier (2016)). Although it is easily implemented, the interactions among the variables of interest and their joint distribution are less addressed. To quantify systemic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011710562
An accurate assessment of tail inequalities and tail asymmetries of financial returns is key for risk management and portfolio allocation. We propose a new test procedure for detecting the full extent of such structural differences in the dependence of bivariate extreme returns. We decompose the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011958215
We demonstrate both analytically and numerically that the existing methods for measuring tail dependence in copulas may sometimes underestimate the extent of extreme co-movements of dependent risks and, therefore, may not always comply with the new paradigm of prudent risk management. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013006476