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vector autoregressive (VAR) models to study the interrelationships between the price spreads and the effects of wind forecast … and demand forecast errors, and other exogenous variables, such as transmission congestions, and hydrological conditions … areas to analyse the impacts of increased shares of wind power on different market places. We find that wind forecast errors …
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We analyse the importance of macroeconomic information, such as industrial production index and oil price, for forecasting daily electricity prices in two of the main European markets, Germany and Italy. We do that by means of mixed-frequency models, introducing a Bayesian approach to reverse...
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resolution, we benchmark the new forecasting approach against a simpler linear regression model as well as a naive forecast …
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This paper is one of the limited studies to investigate rebound effects in sectoral electricity consumption and the specific case of New Zealand. New Zealand, like other OECD economies, has aimed for energy efficiency improvements and reduced electricity consumption from 9.2 MWh per capita in...
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