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Sellers of variance swaps earn time-varying risk premia for their exposure to realized variance, the level of variance swap rates, and the slope of the variance swap curve. To measure risk premia, we estimate a dynamic term structure model that decomposes variance swap rates into expected...
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is highly integrated. Introducing a new World Fear index, we find that local and global aggregate market returns are … mainly driven by global tail risk rather than local tail risk. World fear is also priced in the crosssection of stock returns …. Buying stocks with high sensitivities to World Fear while selling stocks with low sensitivities generates excess returns of …
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We investigate the predictive ability of financial and macroeconomic variables for German stock and bond returns using … and changes in short term interest rates are key predicators for stock returns. Additionally, for bond returns, exchanges …
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This paper examines the macro-spanning hypothesis for bond returns in international markets. Based on a large panel of … bond returns unspanned by yield factors.Furthermore, we estimate macro-finance term structure models (MTSMs) with the …-movements in forward term premia in global bond markets …
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We conduct a comprehensive asset pricing analysis for the U.S. property/liability insurance industry using monthly data from 1988 to 2015. We find that state-of-the-art models such as the Fama and French (2015) five-factor model cannot explain the returns of property/liability insurance stocks...
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