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Monte Carlo simulation tools. The approach is detailed using a realistic but simplified case of a project with two technical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009435988
The Community-Level Impacts Projection System includes a set of techniques for providing detailed advance information required for rational planning. The computerized system generates reports which enable the user: to describe the energy development activity in terms of its employment demands...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009436029
We present a description and scenario results from our recently-developed long-term model of United States industrial sector energy consumption, which we have incorporated as a module within the ObjECTS-MiniCAM integrated assessment model. This new industrial model focuses on energy technology...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009436033
; (C) application of property data to predictive models; and (D) application of the models into predictive simulation. This …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009436039
Beginning in the 1980s a primary focus of human reliability analysis was estimation of human error probabilities. However, detailed qualitative modeling with comprehensive representation of contextual variables often was lacking. This was likely due to the lack of comprehensive error and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009436076
The Federal Columbia River Power System (FCRPS), operated on behalf of the ratepayers of the PNW by BPA and other Federal agencies, faces many uncertainties during the FY 2007-2009 rate period. Among these uncertainties, the largest revolve around hydro conditions, market prices and river...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009436101
The RiskMod Model is comprised of a set of risk simulation models, collectively referred to as RiskSim; a set of … energy values from RevSim are used in the Transmission Expense Risk Model. Net revenues estimated for each simulation by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009436102
This study presents BPA's market price forecasts for the Final Proposal, which are based on AURORA modeling. AURORA calculates the variable cost of the marginal resource in a competitively priced energy market. In competitive market pricing, the marginal cost of production is equivalent to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009436114
The RiskMod Model is comprised of a set of risk simulation models, collectively referred to as RiskSim; a set of … energy values from RevSim are used in the Transmission Expense Risk Model. Net revenues estimated for each simulation by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009436116
to those faced in the recent past. However, the future of energy policy in a climate-restrained world is likely to demand …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009436119