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Unique and proprietary data of the illiquid, one-year non cancelable for three month Bermudan swaps (1Y NC 3M swaps) and one-year non callable for three months Bermudan CDs (1Y NC 3M CDs), provides evidence of market efficiency. The 1Y NC 3M swap and 1Y NC 3M CD markets efficiently reflected...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009475064
Rationale This article analyses the factors that are contributing to the widening of the spread between the euro short-term rate (€STR) and the deposit facility rate, with a view to assessing monetary policy transmission in the Eurosystem. Takeaways •The key factors that explain the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014334724
This paper examines supply response models in a rational expectations framework for each one of the fourmajor Greek meat markets, i.e. beef, broiler, lamb and pork. A multivariate GARCH model with Choleskydecomposition is used to incorporate price volatility into the rational expectations supply...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009445967
This paper provides an adaptive learning algorithm for linear stochastic models with expectational leads in which forecasts for an arbitrary period ahead of the current state feed back into the economic system. The concept of an unbiased forecasting rule with generates rational expectations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009452462
determining market clearing prices is calculated explicitly. The classical capital market line result of CAPM theory is extended …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009452468
The standard overlapping generations model is extended to include retradeable paper assets (shares) of firms. Two period lived consumers hold portfolios including paper assets and capital in order to transfer wealth over time. An infinitely lived firm produces a stochastic output using a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009452519
This paper reports the results of experimental asset markets designed to investigate how the public disclosure of uncertain information affects market and individual outcomes. In some markets, no information is released as trading starts, and in others, an imperfect pre-announcement is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009459067
This thesis is a collection of papers that use survey data to analyze expectations about macroeconomic variables and the way these expectations are formed. Using a new approach for modeling forecast errors in a structural way, we show that most of the individual forecasts in the Consensus survey...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009429015
Dynamic term structure models (DTSMs) price interest rate derivatives based on the modelimplied fair values of the yield curve, ignoring any pricing residuals on the yield curve that are either from model approximations or market imperfections. In contrast, option pricing in practice often takes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009440749
We propose a model that delivers endogenous variations in term spreads driven primarily by banks’ portfolio decision and their appetite to bear the risk of maturity transformation. We first show that fluctuations of the future profitability of banks’ portfolios affect their ability to cover...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012530386