In late summer 1996, in response to relatively low inventory levels and tight world oil markets, prices for crude oil, natural gas, and products derived from both began to increase rapidly ahead of the winter heating season. Various government and private sector forecasts indicated the potential...

The springs of 1996 and 1997 provide an excellent example of contrasting gasoline market dynamics. In spring 1996, tightening crude oil markets pushed up gasoline prices sharply, adding to the normal seasonal gasoline price increases; however, in spring 1997, crude oil markets loosened and crude...

The Atmospheric Release Advisory Capability (ARAC) at the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory uses the U.S. Navy's Coupled Ocean/Atmosphere Mesoscale Prediction System (COAMPS) to supply high-resolution wind data for use in its real-time dispersion modeling system. ARAC has used COAMPS...

Current practice uses statistical tests to determine whether seasonal factors should be applied in a given forecasting situation. Research suggests that an optimal policy might lie somewhere between using full seasonal factors and using no seasonal factors on series. This research proposes and...

This paper presents a methodology for forecasting seasonal streamflow and is an extension of a previously developed categorical streamflow forecast model that used persistence (i.e., the previous season’s streamflow) and El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) indicators. This newly developed...

The Hungarian sheep sector has become a one-market sector, almost the wholeamount of slaughter lamb went to Italy. It would worth to exploit possibilities in other Europeanmarkets. Such markets can be the Spanish and Greek for ”light” and the French, German andEnglish markets for ”heavy”...

The performance of banks is important because it is a reflection of the ability of banks to manage aspects of its capital and assets in the profits and the extent to which the ability of capital a bank is able to absorb the credit risk of failure that may occur, as well as the implications of...