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Outlook vs. Futures: Three Decades of Evidence in Hog and Cattle Markets
Colino, Evelyn V.; Irwin, Scott H. - 2007
indicate,with one exception, no meaningful differences in forecast accuracy between outlook forecastsand futures prices. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009443339
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How Much Can Outlook Forecasts be Improved? An Application to the U.S. Hog Market
Colino, Evelyn V.; Irwin, Scott H.; Garcia, Philip - 2008
flexibility and model averaging consistently outperform Iowa outlook estimates at all forecast horizons. Evidence from the … encompassing tests, which are highly stringent tests of forecast performance, indicates that many price forecasts do provide … incremental information relative to Iowa. Simple combinations of these models and outlook forecasts are able to reduce forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009443351
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Can Parallel Exchange Rates Forecast Commodity Prices?
Roberts, John F - 2009
Commodity price uncertainty imposes large costs on society. On the macro level, it results in sudden and unexpected shifts in current account imbalances and real GDP volatility, while on the micro level, it leads to allocation inefficiencies. Accurate price forecasts have the potential to remove...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009474968
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Biases in Individual Forecasts: Experimental Evidence
Ackert, Lucy; Church, Bryan K.; Ely, Kristen - 2008
divergent information. We manipulate forecast ability so that two individuals are strong analysts and two are weak. In three …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009459094
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The consequences of China's WTO accession on its neighbors
McKibbin, Warwick J; Woo, Wing Thye - 2003
Southeast Asian industrial exports are facing intense competition from Chinese industrial exports. How much more will competition increase as a result of China's recent accession to the World Trade Organization? Will Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, and Thailand (the ASEAN-4)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009451727
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The future of the eurozone and gold. CEPS Special Report, 3 September 2010
Alcidi, Cinzia; De Grauwe, Paul; Gros, Daniel; Oh, Yonghyup. - 2010
This report considers four short-term, alternative scenarios for the eurozone and analyses their possible implications for global economic trends and the gold market. Overall, the main findings suggest that in the near future, motives other than inflation hedging will be the main drivers of gold...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009463776
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A New Approach to Innovation Policy in the European Union. Innovation Policy: Boosting EU Competitiveness in a Global Economy. CEPS Task Force Report, 8 July 2010
Anvret, Maria; Granieri, Massimilliano; Renda, Andrea. - 2010
Innovation policy is increasingly coming under the spotlight in the European Union, and has been given a prominent role in the EU 2020 strategy and in the flagship initiatives that will aim to ensure that Europe succeeds where the Lisbon strategy failed. In years to come, problems such as the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009463884
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A New Approach to Innovation Policy in the European Union. Innovation Policy: Boosting EU Competitiveness in a Global Economy. CEPS Task Force Report, 8 July 2010
Anvret, Maria; Granieri, Massimilliano; Renda, Andrea. - 2010
Innovation policy is increasingly coming under the spotlight in the European Union, and has been given a prominent role in the EU 2020 strategy and in the flagship initiatives that will aim to ensure that Europe succeeds where the Lisbon strategy failed. In years to come, problems such as the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009463899
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The future of the eurozone and gold. CEPS Special Report, 3 September 2010
Alcidi, Cinzia; De Grauwe, Paul; Gros, Daniel; Oh, Yonghyup. - 2010
This report considers four short-term, alternative scenarios for the eurozone and analyses their possible implications for global economic trends and the gold market. Overall, the main findings suggest that in the near future, motives other than inflation hedging will be the main drivers of gold...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009463940
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Global impact of a slowdown in China
Xu, Bing; Roth, Moritz Alexander; Santabárbara …
Artículo de revista ; Given its systemic importance, a sharp and sustained economic slowdown in China affects the world economy, not only on account of its share of global GDP, but also because of its links with other economies through trade, the commodities markets and, on a more incipient...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012523901