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This paper identifies America's first Great Moderation, a period from 1841-1856 of unbroken economic expansion and low volatility comparable to the Great Moderation of the 1980s-2000s. This moderation occurred despite a lack of central banks, low governmental spending, and barriers to interstate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009468758
Artículo de revista ; Against the backdrop of sharp monetary policy tightening, this article studies the links between bank deposit costs and the EURIBOR. In doing so the authors employ an SVAR multivariate model that jointly includes deposit rates and volumes, fitted on monthly data covering...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014442860
Die Analyse der Wirkung von Verkaufsförderungsmaßnahmen auf den Absatz oder Erlös von Konsumgütern gehört zu den mit am meisten erforschten Problemkomplexen in der quantitativen Marketingforschung. Allerdings untersuchen die Mehrzahl der Arbeiten lediglich die kurzfristigen Wirkungen von...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009428984
indicate,with one exception, no meaningful differences in forecast accuracy between outlook forecastsand futures prices. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009443339
flexibility and model averaging consistently outperform Iowa outlook estimates at all forecast horizons. Evidence from the … encompassing tests, which are highly stringent tests of forecast performance, indicates that many price forecasts do provide … incremental information relative to Iowa. Simple combinations of these models and outlook forecasts are able to reduce forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009443351
Commodity price uncertainty imposes large costs on society. On the macro level, it results in sudden and unexpected shifts in current account imbalances and real GDP volatility, while on the micro level, it leads to allocation inefficiencies. Accurate price forecasts have the potential to remove...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009474968
divergent information. We manipulate forecast ability so that two individuals are strong analysts and two are weak. In three …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009459094
The report presents data on international oil production, demand, imports, exports, and stocks. The report has four sections. Section 1 contains time series data on world oil production, and on oil demand and stocks in the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD). This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009436750
This report presents data on international oil production, demand, imports, exports, and stocks. The report has four sections. Section 1 contains time series data on world oil production, and on oil demand and stocks in the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD). This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009436896
internacionalicen (efecto contagio de las importaciones) ; Between its Unification and WWI, Italy faced a period of increasing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012532194