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forward markets, such as hour ahead or day ahead. This paper describes several statistical forecasting models that can be … useful in hour-ahead markets. Although longer-term forecasting relies on numerical weather models, the statistical models … to develop forecasting models that can compete with commercially available models. Instead, we investigate the extent to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009436850
Performance Measures, and the trend information that results from their analyses, can help managers in their decision making process. The business decisions that are to be discussed are: Assignment of limited Resources, Funding, Budget; Contractor Rewards/Incentives; Where to focus Process...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009435706
The efficient characterization of nonlinear systems is an important goal of vibration and model testing. The authors build a nonlinear system model based on the acceleration time series response of a single input, multiple output system. A series of local linear models are used as a template to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009435920
The International Petroleum Statistics Report is a monthly publication that provides current international oil data. This report is published for the use of Members of Congress, Federal agencies, State agencies, industry, and the general public. The International Petroleum Statistics Report...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009436911
The author describes a novel time-series analysis technique called maximum likelihood continuity mapping (MALCOM), and focuses on one application of MALCOM: detecting fraud in medical insurance claims. Given a training data set composed of typical sequences, MALCOM creates a stochastic model of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009437054
This paper examines time-series patterns of external financing decisions and shows that publicly traded U.S, firms fund a much larger proportion of their financing deficit with external equity when the cost of equity capital is low. The historical values of the cost of equity capital have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009458996
The objective of this paper is to assess empirically the impacts of further reform of the CommonAgricultural Policy (CAP) on the agri-food sector in Finland. To meet the objective, aneconometric model for Finnish agriculture - built as a part of the AGMEMOD project - wasutilised. The projection...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009443749
This study is Work In Progress and focuses on Phase 1 of the proposed study. Phase 2 will be implemented in spring 2011. The purpose of phase 1 is to introduce ESI (Economic Sentiment Indicator) to the field of tourism demand studies. The proposed study is intended to develop a demand model in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009467756
The economic repercussions of September 11th are unique in that never before have economists needed to forecast and examine the impact of an event of such magnitude. This paper explains many of the economic effects of September l Ith, from the initial aftermath to recent developments. These...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009474982
Although many studies have documented that in-store displays and feature advertising can significantly increase brand choice probabilities, the mechanism through which they affect the choice decision process is not well understood. The marketing literature has suggested two prominent decision...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009477307