created by polling the respondents on their expectations versus intentions. Expectation-based forecasts are more efficient … statically significant positive relationship between confidence and the accuracy of individual-level expectations. This positive …

/on-the-run liquidity differentials are larger for bonds of shorter maturity, immediately following bond auction dates, when the uncertainty …

This thesis is a collection of papers that use survey data to analyze expectations about macroeconomic variables and … the way these expectations are formed. Using a new approach for modeling forecast errors in a structural way, we show that … explain the development of inflation dynamics and the formation process of inflation expectations of households respectively. We …

context of a model in which these agents form their expectations on the basis of simple forecasting rules. The approach used …

Artículo de revista ; Consumers’ expectations of economic developments are a fundamental determinant of their spending …

, both quantitative and qualitative data on consumption included in the Consumer Survey Expectations (CES) carried out by the …

rates and the war in Ukraine) are having on Spanish households’ economic expectations, using information from the European … Central Bank’s Consumer Expectations Survey. The analysis shows that the upward revision to household inflation expectations … since mid-2021 has fed into their nominal spending expectations, which had been on an upward trajectory until the outbreak …

expectations. This paper shows that, in polarized contexts, agents ... …