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two questions from the decision making literature. First, what determines how much uncertainty a firm has when investing … data, support was found for the Bounded Rationality hypothesis; firms have less uncertainty about an acquisition … hypothesis; firms whose prior machines perform below aspiration levels seek more uncertainty in their subsequent acquisitions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009438770
variables were significant. The major focus of the study -- differences between individual and group-assisted risk evaluations … role. Based on the results of this study, it appears that the accounting firm wishing to suppress risk in its evaluations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009477964
certainty, risk, or uncertainty, the software outputs match with the results of actual highway programming at least 85 percent … physical highway assets or system usage only under certainty or risk, this research focuses on the management of an entire … highway network that also incorporates tradeoff decisions involving uncertainty. Systemwide multiattribute utility functions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009430725
Energy prices have exhibited significant volatility in recent years. For example, natural gas pricesranged from $4 to $15 per MM BTU's in calendar years 2005 through 2011. Future prices are uncertainbut are likely to retain a high level of volatility. This volatility complicates analysis of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009464935
the distortion of outcome and probability information in risky decisions or the effects of ambiguity on information … ambiguity by describing outcomes and probabilities using either point estimates or ranges of values. Results replicated those of … Study 1, with no effects of ambiguity on information distortion. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009440971
the distortion of outcome and probability information in risky decisions or the effects of ambiguity on information …, we manipulated ambiguity by describing outcomes and probabilities using either point estimates or ranges of values …. Results replicated those of Study 1, with no effects of ambiguity on information distortion. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009441297
with a probability distribution. Consequently, they do not allow for Knightian uncertainty, or ambiguity, with respect to … accident risk and cannot accommodate optimism (ambiguity loving) or pessimism (ambiguity aversion). This paper presents a …Standard accident models are based on the expected utility framework and represent agents’ beliefs about accident risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009466424
In this paper we give an alternative characterization for time-consistent sets of measures in a discrete setting. For each measure \mathbb{P} in a time-consistent set \mathcal{P} we get a distinct set of predictable processes which in return decribe the \mathbb{P} uniquely. This implies we get a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009452573
We develop a theory of optimal stopping problems under ambiguity in continuous time. Using results from (backward … from the agent's ambiguity aversion. We show how to use these general results for search problems and American Options. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009452622
We model and solve Best Choice Problems in the multiple prior framework: An ambiguity averse decision maker aims to … choose the best among a fixed number of applicants that appear sequentially in a random order. The decision faces ambiguity … stopping strategy is simple. Ambiguity can lead to substantial differences to the classical threshold rule. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009452623