Reversiones en los flujos de capital pueden comportar graves consecuencias económicas. Este artículo desarrolla un modelo dinámico de equilibrio general para analizar el efecto sobre tasas de interés, precios de los activos, inversión, consumo, producción, tipo de cambio y cuenta corriente...

Emerging market countries that have improved institutions and attained intermediate levels of institutional quality have experienced severe financial crises following capital flow reversals. However, there is also evidence that countries with strong institutions and deep capital markets are less...

This paper provides a synthesis and further development of a global modelling approach introduced in Pesaran, Schuermann and Weiner (2004), where country specific models in the form of VARX* structures are estimated relating a vector of domestic variables to their foreign counterparts and then...

The estimation of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models is the subject of a rapidly growing literature. This dissertation contributes to the existing body of work by focusing on issues related to parameter identification.In the first essay I show that DSGE models are characterized...

Incluye referencias bibliográficas ; This paper assesses the impact of oil price changes on Spanish and euro area consumer price inflation. We find, consistently with recent international evidence, that the inflationary effect of oil price changes is limited, even though crude oil price...

This paper proposes the use of dynamic factor models as an alternative to the VAR-based tools for the empirical validation of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) theories. Along the lines of Giannone et al. (2006), we use the state-space parameterisation of the factor models proposed...

¿Cuánto importa el canal de toma de riesgos (risk-taking channel) para la política monetaria? Para responder a esta pregunta, desarrollamos y estimamos un modelo cuantitativo macroeconómico DSGE, en el que los bancos eligen inversiones excesivamente arriesgadas, debido a un problema de...

This dissertation studies the relationship between exchange rate regimes and financing decisions of corporations in small open economies with access to international capital markets.The first essay develops a model of the choice between local and foreign currency debt by capital-constrained...

In this paper, we provide evidence on the nature and the relative importance of domestic and foreign shocks in Slovak economy based on block-restriction vector autoregression model in 1999-2007. We document well-functioning monetary transmission mechanism in Slovakia. Subject to various...

The first chapter analizes conditional assistance programs. They generate conflicting relationships between international financial institutions (IFIs) and member countries. The experience of IFIs with conditionality in the 1990s led them to allow countries more latitude in the design of their...