Showing 1 - 6 of 6
This paper examines supply response models in a rational expectations framework for each one of the fourmajor Greek meat markets, i.e. beef, broiler, lamb and pork. A multivariate GARCH model with Choleskydecomposition is used to incorporate price volatility into the rational expectations supply...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009445967
This paper provides an adaptive learning algorithm for linear stochastic models with expectational leads in which forecasts for an arbitrary period ahead of the current state feed back into the economic system. The concept of an unbiased forecasting rule with generates rational expectations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009452462
This paper investigates a financial market in which investors with linear mean-variance preferences and multiperiod planning horizons of arbitrary finite length interact. Given heterogeneous subjective beliefs, the temporary equilibrium map determining market clearing prices is calculated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009452468
The standard overlapping generations model is extended to include retradeable paper assets (shares) of firms. Two period lived consumers hold portfolios including paper assets and capital in order to transfer wealth over time. An infinitely lived firm produces a stochastic output using a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009452519
This paper reports the results of experimental asset markets designed to investigate how the public disclosure of uncertain information affects market and individual outcomes. In some markets, no information is released as trading starts, and in others, an imperfect pre-announcement is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009459067
This thesis is a collection of papers that use survey data to analyze expectations about macroeconomic variables and the way these expectations are formed. Using a new approach for modeling forecast errors in a structural way, we show that most of the individual forecasts in the Consensus survey...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009429015