In this paper we examine several approaches to detecting changes in the adjustment coefficients in cointegrated VARs. We adopt recursive and rolling techniques as mis-specification tests for the detection of non-constancy and the estimation of the breakpoints. We find that inspection of the...

The unusual rise and fall of non-monetary trade (NMT) in the Russian transition has been a subject of heated debates. Yet, this phenomenon is often viewed as a peculiarity that one cannot explain by economic considerations alone. In this paper we show that the resort to NMT was a rational,...

This paper proposes asymptotically optimal tests for unstable parameter process under the feasible circumstance that the researcher has little information about the unstable parameter process and the error distribution, and suggests conditions under which the knowledge of those processes does...

Purpose: This paper aims to provide new evidence regarding the firm performance implications of using temporal orientation (time pacing) and information technology (IT) to align an organization with its task environment. Design/methodology/approach: Using questionnaire data provided by top...

The law of the tendential fall in the rate of profit has been at the center of theoretical and empirical debates within Marxian political economy ever since the publication of Volume III of Capital. An important limitation of this literature is the absence of a comprehensive econometric analysis...

This paper empirically examines the impact of oil price levels and volatility on key macroeconomic indicators of Indonesia. In particular, two measures of volatility – historical volatility and realized volatility – are utilized and compared for their different macroeconomic impacts. The...

La crisis económica reciente ha alterado la dinámica de las series económicas y, como consecuencia, ha introducido incertidumbre en el ajuste estacional en estos últimos años. El problema se discutió en seminarios celebrados en Eurostat y en el Banco Central Europeo durante el año 2010,...

Aimed at providing the anticipatory ability for the proactive traffic control systems, a new adaptive online short-term univariate traffic condition forecasting method is presented in this dissertation by assimilating knowledge from previous research. Using 15-minute traffic flow series as a...