This paper extends the model developed by Krugman and Taylor (1978) to take into account interesting features of the evolving structure of global trade. The growing presence of transnational production chains and differential pricing behaviour of exports destined for industrial and developing...

China’s development model faces an external constraint that could cause an economic hard landing. China has become a global manufacturing powerhouse, and its size now renders its export-led growth strategy unsustainable. China relies on the U.S. market, but the scale of its exports is...

Policy makers in developing countries often place emphasis on inter-sectoral input linkages (‘linkages’ for short) in determining sectoral priorities in export development policy, particularly in designing export promotion schemes and in screening and monitoring export-oriented foreign...

In this paper, the welfare results in trade liberalisation scenarios in global CGE models (like GTAP)are analysed. The default modeling strategy in trade is the Armington assumption with bilateral tradeflows in industries. The negative terms of trade effects that often dominate the negative...

This paper derives the balance of payments-constrained growth (BPCG) model as a special case of a three good framework that incorporates ex- portables, importables, and non-tradables. The conditions under which the canonical form of the BPCG rate can be derived are made explicit and the...

Many developing countries have adopted investor-friendly policies in recent years in order to attract export-oriented foreign direct investment (FDI). The effects of these policies on the external accounts have been largely ignored. This paper endogenizes FDI inflows in a structuralist general...

The paper examines the impact of terms of trade shocks on private savings in the transition economies after accounting for the effect of other determinants. Economic agents in the transition economies are subject to tight credit constraints which are more pronounced during bad state of nature....

Dramatic changes in the relative prices of goods in international trade have accompanied, and indeed preceded, the global crisis. These changes are reflected in the terms of trade of individual countries and in the relative prices of goods within those countries. Asia-Pacific countries are...

One of the most striking features of the world economy is that wealthy countries are clustered together. This paper theoretically and empirically explains a mechanism for this clustering by extending the Acemoglu and Ventura model so that it takes real geography into account. Countries close to...

La pregunta de si la integración internacional de los mercados financieros ha aumentado la cobertura del riesgo a nivel global o no, sigue siendo un tema controvertido en la literatura. Si fuera así, ¿qué deberíamos observar en los datos? La literatura enfatiza que una diversificación...