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Outlook vs. Futures: Three Decades of Evidence in Hog and Cattle Markets
Colino, Evelyn V.; Irwin, Scott H. - 2007
indicate,with one exception, no meaningful differences in forecast accuracy between outlook forecastsand futures prices. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009443339
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How Much Can Outlook Forecasts be Improved? An Application to the U.S. Hog Market
Colino, Evelyn V.; Irwin, Scott H.; Garcia, Philip - 2008
flexibility and model averaging consistently outperform Iowa outlook estimates at all forecast horizons. Evidence from the … encompassing tests, which are highly stringent tests of forecast performance, indicates that many price forecasts do provide … incremental information relative to Iowa. Simple combinations of these models and outlook forecasts are able to reduce forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009443351
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Can Parallel Exchange Rates Forecast Commodity Prices?
Roberts, John F - 2009
Commodity price uncertainty imposes large costs on society. On the macro level, it results in sudden and unexpected shifts in current account imbalances and real GDP volatility, while on the micro level, it leads to allocation inefficiencies. Accurate price forecasts have the potential to remove...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009474968
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Biases in Individual Forecasts: Experimental Evidence
Ackert, Lucy; Church, Bryan K.; Ely, Kristen - 2008
divergent information. We manipulate forecast ability so that two individuals are strong analysts and two are weak. In three …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009459094
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A exclusão social de mulheres jovens, com idade entre 15 a 24 anos, no mercado de trabalho no Brasil
Fernandes, Rosangela Aparecida Soares; Lima, Joao … - 2008
Vários fatores como escolaridade, renda per capita, experiência, maternidade, raça, dentre outros, têm contribuído para a exclusão de mulheres jovens no mercado de trabalho. O objetivo deste artigo é identificar a situação das mulheres jovens, com idade entre 15 e 24 anos, no mercado de...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009446716
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Labour market outcomes in the UK, NZ, Australia and the US: observations on the impact of labour market and economic reforms
Gregory, R.G - 1999
There is no doubt that large changes in government policy towards economic reform are vitally important: some two decades ago Myanmar (Burma) was among the Asian nations with the highest per capita income but, by turning away from economic reform, government policy prevented the economy from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009451609
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The future of Indigenous work: forecasts of labour force status to 2011
Hunter, Boyd; Kinfu, Yohannes; Taylor, John - 2003
The recent release of the final results for the 2001 Census presents an opportunity to assess the net change in employment outcomes for Indigenous Australians for the period covering the first two Howard administrations. This paper uses demographic techniques to make valid comparisons over time,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009451693
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Competing with dad: changes in the intergenerational distribution of male labour market income
Gregory, R.G - 1999
Two decades ago a discussion of the interactions between expenditure on the welfare system and labour market changes would have focussed on the impact of changing unemployment levels. Today, the unemployment-welfare expenditure link is still important but another factor has been added....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009451694
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Was Working Nation Working?
Junankar, P N; Kapuscinski, C.A - 1997
After several months of research and consultation the previous Labor government introduced in May 1994 a set of labour market programs targeted at the long term unemployed with its publication of Working Nation. With the new Coalition government taking office in March 1996 we saw the end of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009451737