Showing 1 - 10 of 93
Despite the fact that there is a substantial literature on the analysis of volatility spillovers between stock returns … and domestic exchange rates, surprisingly, little empirical research has examined volatility spillovers between oil prices …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009446192
implementación de un conjunto de modelos EGARCH. En conclusión, encontramos que dos de los índices de incertidumbre temáticos (uno …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013342622
. Lower turnover implies higher volatility. In addition, a minimum tick size for bond price negotiation will produce higher … volatility for bonds approaching their maturity dates. To show these effects, we use data for Spanish sovereign bonds from 1988 …-squared errors to take into account the liquidity induced heteroskedasticity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012530418
Two of the most discussed issues triggered by the so called Feldstein-Horioka puzzle in international macroeconomics are: What does the saving-investment (SI) relation really measure and how should the SI relation be measured? The first contribution of this study is to develop a new variant of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009429004
market, a 2-state regime-switching model with Markov transition chain is carried out. GARCH effects are also built into the … model to account for the conditional heteroskedasticity. Short-term forecasts based on the regime-switching model are also … fundamental models. Volatility which cannot be explained by fundamentals plays an essential role in natural gas price behavior …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009446513
This study proposes an extension to the inflation targeting framework for Poland that takes into consideration the exchange rate stability constraints imposed by the obligatory participation in the ERM2 on the path to the euro. The modified policy framework is based on targeting the differential...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009476869
, inflation volatility and volatility persistence. To describe inflation dynamics and evaluate its impact, we use an unobserved … components model, where each component can follow a GARCH type process. In general, the main findings of the empirical exercise … show that the adoption of IT has been useful to reduce the inflation level and volatility in these countries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012530220
impact on the exchange rate level and volatility. We analyze the effects of daily forex interventions in four Latin American … countries with infl ation targets —namely, Chile, Colombia, Mexico and Peru—by fitting GARCH-type models. These countries …, reduce exchange rate volatility, although their size plays a minor role. Our results support the signaling effect of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012530389
recently proposed Dynamic Conditional Correlations (DCC) class of GARCH models, I estimate the covariance of the fundamental …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009429055
two conditional moments of univariate traffic flow series can be modeled as a SARIMA+GARCH structure, based on which an … smoothing; the local variation is processed using Kalman filter by constructing a state space model. Afterwards, GARCH model is … processed using Kalman filter based on the recognition that GARCH has an equivalent representation as ARMA in the sense of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009431160