The risk premium has risen sharply in the nation's financial markets. This is the message to be drawn from the significant rise in interest rates in recent days -- notwithstanding a stagnant economy, slowing inflation, and credit demands which, overall, are only moderate. The economy is clearly...

All the market economies of the world are in the throes of a persistent decline in productivity growth that has produced stagflation every-where. Now, hesitant and uncertain steps to slow inflation have imposed a mild recession and intensified the underlying problem. The peak-to-trough decline...

Economic recovery may be underway. Inflation continues to fall, but the speed and durability of the recovery remain in doubt. Some foresee the economy reverting to stagnation or recession in 1983 after a brief period of expansion. Others foresee sustained recovery with growth of real output...

During recent months the behavior of the various monetary aggregates in the United States has been the subject of almost continuous commentary. The most frequent conclusion is that the observed behavior has been dominated by a number ofunique events. First it was alleged that the behavior of M1...

Adopting a restrictive policy to reduce inflation and being willing to stick with it even in a long and deep recession is not evidence that it will be successful. The test of whether a long-run anti-inflation policy will be maintained does not occur until the subsequent expansion gets underway....

Numeraire choice is often deemed a problem of purely analytical convenience. In this paper I show that there is more to numeraire selection than meets the eye for the formulation of monetary policy in countries with weak fiscal institutions. I show how (a) improper numeraire choice can...

Since the 1990s, the effective global labor supply has increased strongly, in particular due to the integration of China and India into the global markets. This rise has also deteriorated the situation of low-skilled workers in advanced economies. This development raises important challenges for...

The thesis analyzes monetary and labor policies under different market frictions. In the first part several versions of a microfounded dynamic general equilibrium model with monopolistic competitors in the product and/or labor market are derived and simulated. First of all, the monetary...

This thesis investigates the role of exchange rate in a small open economy policy framework. Focusing the analysis on the crisis-hit East-Asian countries, the main objective of this thesis is to investigate the necessity of the monetary authority to concern about the exchange rate stability by...