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Population ageing constitutes a central challenge to Finland. Understanding the Finnish economy's likely future trajectory and the key sources of growth is important for the design of policies to counteract these adverse long-term trends. For this purpose, we develop a novel long-run forecast...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012703120
. Labour market flows improve forecasts over very short forecasting horizons. Additional labour market variables can improve … proves advantageous especially when forecasting two quarters ahead. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014574000
We look for a forecasting model for private investments in Finland. As explanatory variables, we use different proxies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014422324
that summarizes the information of widely used cyclical indicators. This methodology produces an output gap that is similar …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012631046
This article surveys both earlier and recent research on recession forecasting with probit based time series models … indicators and financial variables such as stock returns seem to provide additional predictive power over the term spread. More …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012271706
Confidence dropped universally across countries and sectors during the height of the COVID-19 pandemic in Europe. Latest survey data suggest that confidence is on track for a v-shaped recovery. The swift implementation of stringent containment measures as well as economic stimulus policy...
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Before the war, the European economy was experiencing a heady recovery. The one-two punch of higher energy prices and trade disruptions, however, could destabilise EU firms already weakened by the pandemic, according to a new report published by the European Investment Bank. Simulations by the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013358869