We look for a forecasting model for private investments in Finland. As explanatory variables, we use different proxies of Tobin's Q and cash flow as well as these series decomposed to different frequency components. The forecasts are produced using OLS and National Accounts and Financial...

We assess the macroeconomic impact of pandemic-related monetary policy measures of the ECB. Conditioning on counterfactual interest rate paths that would have materialised in the absence of the policies, the macroeconomic effects are measured using structural vector autoregressions. In the...

We propose a new Bayesian VAR model for forecasting household loan stocks in Finland. The model is designed to work as a satellite model of a larger DSGE model for the Finnish economy, the Aino 2.0 model. The forecasts produced with the BVAR model can be conditioned on projections of several...