Population ageing constitutes a central challenge to Finland. Understanding the Finnish economy's likely future trajectory and the key sources of growth is important for the design of policies to counteract these adverse long-term trends. For this purpose, we develop a novel long-run forecast...

Koronaviruksen taltuttamisen seurauksena talouttamme on kohdannut samanaikaisesti en-nennäkemätön tarjonta-, kysyntä- ja rahoitusmarkkinahäiriö, joka leikkaa ison loven ta-louteemme. Talousvaikutusten arviointi edellyttää tietoa epidemian kestosta, jota mallinne-taan epidemiakäyrän...

This article surveys both earlier and recent research on recession forecasting with probit based time series models. Most studies use either a static probit model or its extensions in order toestimate the recession probabilities, while others use models based on a latent variable ap-proach to...

We look for a forecasting model for private investments in Finland. As explanatory variables, we use different proxies of Tobin's Q and cash flow as well as these series decomposed to different frequency components. The forecasts are produced using OLS and National Accounts and Financial...

The publication is the report of a foresight study aimed at supporting the development of the Strategic Plan of Horizon Europe (2025-2027) with early-stage strategic intelligence and sense-making contributions - issues, trends, perspectives, ideas - that could contribute novel elements to the...