Showing 1 - 10 of 91
This study aims to explore the extent to which changes in wealth contributes to inflation utilizing a highly flexible …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014573996
We study the implications of forging stronger political ties with the US on the sensitivities of stock returns around the world to a global common factor - the global financial cycle. Using voting patterns at the United Nations as a measure of political ties with the US along with various...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014448309
We study asymmetric inflation effects of both conventional and unconventional monetary policy in the euro area during …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014231034
This paper presents a framework for quantifying uncertainty around point forecasts for GDP, inflation and house prices …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014313751
inflation in order to stabilize the expectations of households, firms and innovators. Endogenous growth provides a self … debt-stabilizing inflation when current fiscal deficits are not backed by future fiscal surpluses. Because growth creates … unique stable equilibrium, provided that the policy permits r−g to fall with inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014457581
This paper studies fiscal policy in a New Keynesian DSGE model with endogenous technology growth in which scarring can occur endogenously through hysteresis effects in TFP. Both demand- and supply-driven recessions can weaken investment in R&D and technology adoption, thus depressing the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013463787
The paper adds money supply and inflation expectations shocks to a well-known three-variable structural model that … supply and to inflation expectations significantly increase real oil prices; with the unadjusted M1 aggregate there is no … role played by inflation expectations and the money supply shocks during major oil shock episodes. These shocks partially …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014295388
We test for state-dependent bias in the European Central Bank's inflation projections. We show that the ECB tends to … underpredict when the observed inflation rate at the time of forecasting is higher than an estimated threshold of 1.8%. The bias is … most pronounced at intermediate forecasting horizons. This suggests that inflation is projected to revert towards the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014532443
This paper presents the New Keynesian Phillips Curve (NKPC) -based framework for analysing euro area inflation outlook …. Our NKPC specification, that relies on market- and survey-based inflation expectations, explains well euro area inflation … long-horizons. Overall, the NKPC is a useful tool for monitoring euro area inflation outlook. Thanks to its fast and light …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012622377
consumption, income and wealth. We account for the various channels through which inflation affects individual households, and for … the monetary and fiscal policy responses to the inflationary shock. Our results indicate that the effects of inflation … differences in individual consumption patterns. On average, the effect of inflation is regressive, with lower income households …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014473006