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interest rates and low inflation, and when ensuing prolonged and subdued growth undermines potential growth via labour … of economic slack and its impact on inflation, crisis-related hit to potential output and neutral interest rates. However …
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A statistically significant relationship between the unemployment gap and inflation can be found for a clear majority … slack on inflation can often be dominated by other shocks, including imported inflation. The current Secretariat Phillips … curve specification assumes inflation expectations are anchored at the central bank’s target, although some experimentation …
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This paper describes the methodology used in the OECD Economics Department to produce historical estimates and short-run projections of potential output. These estimates are used mainly in the OECD Economic Outlook, in country surveys and as starting point for long-run scenarios. Total-economy...
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