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The impact of macroprudential policies on capital flows in CESEE

Eller, Markus; Hauzenberger, Niko; Huber, Florian; … - 2021

stabilize capital flows in Central, Eastern and Southeastern Europe (CESEE) - a region that experienced a substantial boom … countries analyzed. However, they do not seem to generally shield CESEE countries from capital flow volatility. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012510734

The macro-economic impact of e-commerce in the EU Digital Single Market

Cardona, Mélisande; Duch-Brown, Néstor; Francois, … - 2015

This paper examines the economic impact of a change in retail technology - the shift from offline to online shopping - and a change in policy - measures to reduce the barriers to online trade perceived by consumers and retailers. Contrary to the prevalent micro-economic partial equilibrium...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011980243

Quantifying the effects of trade liberalisation in Brazil : a computabel general equilibrium model (CGE) simulation

Araújo, Sónia; Flaig, Dorothee - 2016

Brazil remains a fairly closed economy, with small trade flows relative to its share of world income. This paper explores the effects of three possible policy reforms to strengthen Brazil’s integration into global trade: a reduction in import tariffs, less local content requirements and a full...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011577734

Five years in a balloon : estimating the effects of euro adoption in Slovakia using the synthetic control method

Žúdel, Branislav; Melioris, Libor - 2016

We analyse the effect of Slovakia’s euro adoption in 2009 on the country’s economic performance by using the synthetic control method. This method compares Slovakia’s economic performance with that of a weighted combination of comparable Central European economies that have remained...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011577856

Advance warning indicators of past severe GDP per capita recessions in Turkey

Röhn, Oliver - 2016

The global financial crisis and its high economic and social costs have revived academic and policy interest in “early warning indicators” of crises. This paper aims to investigate the performance of vulnerability indicators as advance warning indicators of past severe GDP per capita...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011577964

The transition of China to sustainable growth : implications for the global economy and the euro area

Dieppe, Alistair (ed.); Gilhooly, Robert (ed.); … - 2018

vulnerabilities in a number of sectors and has been accompanied by increased complexity and leverage in the financial system. China …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011792634

Economic shocks and changes in global production structures : methods for measuring economic resilience

Hashiguchi, Yoshihiro; Yamano, Norihiko; Webb, Colin - 2017

Conventional studies on the impacts of economic shocks using global input-output tables (sensitivity analyses) assume stable production structures and thus, only reveal the marginal impacts of changes in final demand. However, when economic shocks occur, whether at home or abroad, economic...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011822096

The potential macroeconomic and sectoral consequences of Brexit on Ireland

Arriola, Christine; Carrico, Caitlyn; Haugh, David; … - 2018

This paper provides estimates of the potential effects on exports, imports, production, factor demand and GDP in Ireland of an exit of the United Kingdom (UK) from the European Union (EU), focusing on trade and FDI channels. Owing to the high uncertainty regarding the final trade agreement...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011914655

Economic resilience : a new set of vulnerability indicators for OECD countries

Röhn, Oliver; Caldera Sánchez, Aida; Hermansen, … - 2015

potential vulnerabilities that can lead to such costly events. This paper first discusses the source and nature of potential … vulnerabilities in OECD countries that can lead to costly economic crises. Based on the most recent evidence from the early warning … at capturing vulnerabilities that could transmit from one country to another through financial, trade or confidence …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011399583

Economic resilience : the usefulness of early warning indicators in OECD countries

Hermansen, Mikkel Nørlem; Röhn, Oliver - 2015

developments into account when assessing a country’s vulnerabilities. In the domestic areas, indicators that measure asset market …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011399585