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Debt levels have surged since the mid-1990s and have reached historic highs across the OECD. High debt levels can … create vulnerabilities, which amplify and transmit macroeconomic and asset price shocks. Furthermore, high debt levels hinder … shocks. The empirical evidence suggests that when private sector debt levels, particularly for households, rise above trend …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009696443
Estimates of the output gap ought to be a useful guide for macroeconomic policy, both for assessing inflationary pressures and fiscal sustainability, but their reliability has been called into question by the large revisions which they are often subject to, particularly around turning points....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011577728
Building on the automatic fiscal stabilisers literature, this paper assesses how automatic stabilisers have evolved over the past two decades by analysing changes in the personal income tax and social benefit systems. In three-quarters of the 35 OECD countries analysed, indicators of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012421097
distance, trade, and finance to the US subprime mortgage and Eurozone debt crisis areas. To understand the causes of the cross …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011975657
Using a large panel of OECD countries this paper studies the link between debt and macroeconomic stability by comparing … between debt and economic growth has been extensively studied in the literature, only little attention has been paid to the … impact of debt on volatility and higher moments of output growth distributions. This paper fills in this gap. Debt …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009696437
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