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In this paper we estimate a Bayesian vector autoregressive model with factor stochastic volatility in the error term to … assess the effects of an uncertainty shock in the Euro area. This allows us to treat macroeconomic uncertainty as a latent … consequences jointly, and most are based on single country models. We analyze the special case of a shock restricted to the Euro …
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, from a copula framework, we obtain the conditional expectation and measure the exchange rate contribution to shock …
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Policy reforms aimed at boosting long-run growth often have side effects – positive or negative – on an economy’s vulnerability to shocks and their propagation. Macroeconomic shocks as severe and protracted as those since 2007 warrant a reconsideration of the role growth-promoting policies...
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