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The effect on the household consumption price index from possible sources of error in capturing digital products depends on the weight of the affected products. To calculate upper bounds for this effect, we apply weights based on the average structure of household consumption in OECD countries...
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more weight on alternative indicators of inflation pressure such as wage settlements, trends in unit labour costs and a … wide range of indicators of inflation expectations. The recent fall in margins observed in some countries may, for instance … States, the large unemployment gap could also keep wage inflation under pressure despite a flattening Phillips curve. These …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009690945
costs could rise due to excessive risk-taking; higher inflation expectations; higher likelihood of ever-greening; and higher …
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This paper assesses the OECD’s projections for GDP growth and inflation during the global financial crisis and recovery … the slowdown and later the weak pace of the recovery – errors made by many other forecasters. At the same time, inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010374419
A statistically significant relationship between the unemployment gap and inflation can be found for a clear majority … slack on inflation can often be dominated by other shocks, including imported inflation. The current Secretariat Phillips … curve specification assumes inflation expectations are anchored at the central bank’s target, although some experimentation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012202854
Declining inflation in many countries over the past few decades at the same time as rising global competition has led … to a debate on the importance of globalisation for domestic inflation. This paper explores the implications of global … value chain (GVC) integration and market contestability for inflation using a range of industry-level and micro-data sources …
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