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The forecasting uncertainty around point macroeconomic forecasts is usually measured by the historical performance of the forecasting model, using measures such as root mean squared forecasting errors (RMSE). This measure, however, has the major drawback that it is constant over time and hence...
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production in different countries is deemed as one of the factors of the price spike in 2007/08, the contribution of correlation … of yield shocks to price volatility is measured. This paper shows that correlation effects account for a significant …
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