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yields would risk generating instability in the US shadow banking sector, and the financial system more generally, even if … strengthening the resilience of shadow banking institutions so that the risk of liquidity-induced fire sales is reduced. This should …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010374407
In the wake of the Great Recession, a massive monetary policy stimulus was provided in the main OECD economies. It helped to stabilise financial markets and avoid deflation. Nonetheless, GDP growth has been sluggish and in some countries lower than expected given the measures taken, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010231109
Using the 2008-09 global financial crisis, this paper examines the role of different forms of international financial integration for asset price contagion in crisis times. Defining contagion as the transmission of financial market movements beyond the co-movements that would occur in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009691012
We estimate dynamic factor models for two sub-samples between 1995 and 2017 for up to 42 advanced and emerging-market economies to investigate changes in the contribution of global and regional factors to fluctuations in real GDP per capita growth, inflation, 10-year government bond yields and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011995720
Financial conditions indices (FCIs) have been developed to summarise financial conditions and also supplement more traditional macroeconomic forecasting. They capture market expectations but also quantitative and survey information. This paper seeks to provide up to date financial conditions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011577970
The global financial crisis highlighted the importance of strengthening the resilience of our economies to adverse shocks. In this paper, we take stock of studies carried out primarily within, but also outside the OECD, to better understand the role of macroeconomic and structural policies in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011399587
This paper estimates potential output losses from the global financial crisis by comparing recent OECD published projections with a counter-factual assuming a continuation of pre-crisis productivity trends and a trend employment rate which is sensitive to demographic trends. Among the 19 OECD...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010464904
Certain growth-promoting policies can have negative side-effects by increasing the vulnerability of economies to financial crises. Typical examples are greater openness to financial flows or more liberalised financial markets. This paper investigates whether the growth benefits of policy reforms...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011578174
impact of debt on volatility and higher moments of output growth distributions. This paper fills in this gap. Debt … cycles in high-debt environments reflects higher macroeconomic volatility but also higher tail risks and adverse asymmetries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009696437
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000980453