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different from zero. Although there is little evidence of a systematic response following a typical flow demand shock, the … medium-run responses to a speculative demand shock differ between OPEC and non-OPEC producers, i.e., on average over the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009793063
This note expands Kilian's (2008) original time series of exogenous oil supply shocks along two dimensions. First, we extend the sample period and include production shortfalls in OPEC member states during 2004:10-2018:12. Second, we also consider production shortfalls in non-OPEC countries. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012165253
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In this paper, decisions regarding production in oil exporting countries are studied by means of theoretical analysis and empirical investigation. Under the assumptions of exogenous oil prices and world oil demand, we are able to describe the relationship between oil production levels and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009231652
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In this paper, we analyze how lack of credibility and transparency of monetary and fiscal policies undermines the …-country evidence that monetary policy transparency and fiscal credibility reduce the incidence of export price volatility on output …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014411151
-response analysis and find that a global demand shock is as important as oil supply and oil demand shocks in determining the dynamics of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010244566
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This article contributes to the debate about the impact of the U.S. fracking boom on U.S. oil imports, on Arab oil exports, and on the global price of crude oil. First, I investigate the extent to which this oil boom has caused Arab oil exports to the United States to decline since late 2008....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011422578