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, namely, GARCH (1,1), GJR (1,1) and EGARCH (1,1), are used to estimate the abnormal rate of change in the number of tourists …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011794257
GARCH models which capture volatility clustering and, therefore, are appropriate to analyse financial market data. Models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010237661
heteroscedasticity (GARCH)-type models to forecast oil price volatility over the time periods from January 02, 1875 to December 31, 1895 … outperformed by other models, with long memory GARCH-type models coming out second best. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010488966
such as Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedastic (GARCH), Generalized Autoregressive Score (GAS), and … inclusion of exogenous variables is beneficial for GARCH-type models while offering only a marginal improvement for GAS and SV …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014252427
Forecasters (SPF) in the US. Incorporating SPF consensus forecasts into the conditional mean of an AR-GARCH type model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014578011
Simulation as well as two applications based on multivariate GARCH-based models for stock market returns and on a macroeconomic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011453093
EuroMInd-D is a density estimate of monthly gross domestic product (GDP) constructed according to a bottom-up approach, pooling the density estimates of eleven GDP components, by output and expenditure type. The components density estimates are obtained from a medium-size dynamic factor model of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010502772
. We use the tests to evaluate GARCH-based multivariate density forecasts for a vector of stock market returns. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011845266
Mandelbrot (1960) proposed using the so-called Pareto-Lévy class of distributions as a framework for representing income distributions. We argue in this paper that the Pareto-Lévy distribution is an interesting candidate for representing income distribution because its parameters are easy to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009407916
We propose a new three-step model-selection framework for size distributions in empirical data. It generalizes a recent frequentist plausibility-of-fit analysis (Step 1) and combines it with a relative ranking based on the Bayesian Akaike Information Criterion (Step 2). We enhance these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009712517