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Our current inflation stemmed from a fiscal shock. The Fed is slow to react. Why? Will the Fed's slow reaction spur … more inflation? I write a simple model that encompasses the Fed's mild projections and its slow reaction, and traditional … views that inflation will surge without swift rate rises. The key question is whether expectations are forward looking or …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210124
endogeneity of money. Implicitly, the money supply process with regard to Turkish inflation is unpredictable with respect to the … past history of prices, i.e. either inflation or currency depreciation. Therefore, the Turkish monetary regime may be … persistently high inflationary process in Turkey. -- Demand for Money ; High Inflation ; Granger Causality ; Exogeneity of Money …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003719081
In the present paper we question the mainstream diagnosis of Germany's post-2000 stagnation as well as the prescribed remedies. We show that the "institutional sclerosis" view of Germany's stagnation is unfounded and that therefore the political measures proposed and actually taken are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003744530
actions, especially government spending, were critical in the pre-Volcker inflation build-up. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012223616
actions, especially government spending, were critical in the pre-Volcker inflation build-up. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012261765
The fiscal theory states that inflation adjusts so that the real value of government debt equals the present value of … determines the path of expected inflation, while news about the present value of surpluses drives unexpected inflation. I use … fiscal theory to interpret historical episodes, including the rise and fall of inflation in the 1970s and 1980s, the long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013361983
This paper examines Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke's recipe for deflation fighting and the specific policy actions he took in the aftermath of the 2008 financial crisis. Both in his academic and in his policy work, Bernanke has made the case that monetary policy is able to stem...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008759522
This paper assesses the contribution of the European Central Bank (ECB) to Germany's ongoing economic crisis, a vicious circle of decline in which the country has become stuck since the early 1990s. It is argued that the ECB continues the Bundesbank tradition of asymmetric policymaking: the bank...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003229840
This paper provides empirical evidence in favor of the hypothesis that the secular price increase in the 16th century is mainly caused by money supply developments as the discovery of new mines in Latin America. First we review price developments for several European countries over the 16th...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003666993
We analyze the determinants of average individual in ation uncertainty and disagreement based on data from the European Central Bank's Survey of Professional Forecasters. We empirically confirm the implication from a theoretical decomposition of in ation uncertainty that disagreement is an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011453118