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We investigate the impact of the emergence of China as a global competitor on the trade performance of Central, Eastern …
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(NPLs) for the Central, Eastern and Southeastern European (CESEE) countries. It is based on panel data for Bulgaria, Croatia …
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We extend the analysis of Christoffersen and Diebold (1998) on long-run forecasting in cointegrated systems to …, this new loss function entails high and increasing forecasting gains compared to both the standard MSFE criterion and …
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mixed frequency datasets with ragged edges in a forecasting context. The resulting method, labeled MF-3PRF, is very simple … samle performance in Monte Carlo experiments, and empirical applications to GDP growth nowcasting and forecasting for the …
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The procedures of estimating prediction intervals for ARMA processes can be divided into model based methods and empirical methods. Model based methods require knowledge of the model and the underlying innovation distribution. Empirical methods are based on the sample forecast errors. In this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011544448
SEMIFAR models introduced in Beran (1999) provide a semiparametric modelling framework that enables the data analyst to separate deterministic and stochastic trends as well as short- and long-memory components in an observed time series. A correct distinction between these components, and in...
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