Similar Search Results

Can more public information raise uncertainty? : the international evidence on forward guidance

Ehrmann, Michael; Gaballo, Gaetano; Hoffmann, Peter; … - 2019

Central banks have used different types of forward guidance, where the forward guidance horizon is related to a state contingency, a calendar date or left open-ended. This paper reports cross-country evidence on the impact of these different types of forward guidance on the sensitivity of bond...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011997441

The effects of learning in interactive monetary policy committees

Berk, Jan Marc; Bierut, Beata K. - 2004

We develop a theoretical framework for studying the effects of interaction on the quaJity of decision-making by monetary policy committees. We show that interaction, i.e. increasing one's expertise through an exchange of views, is most likely not to result in interdependent voting...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011334835

Monetary policy surprises, central bank information shocks, and economic activity in a small open economy

Laséen, Stefan - 2020

In this paper I study the effects of monetary policy on economic activity and asset prices in Sweden, separately identifying the effects of a conventional policy change from effects of new information about economic fundamentals. Recent research has shown that high-frequency changes in policy...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012309007

FOMC communication and interest rate sensitivity to news

Tang, Jenny - 2017 - This version: October 2017

In this paper, I examine whether communications by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) play a role in determining the types of macroeconomic news that financial markets pay attention to. To do so, I construct novel measures of the intensity with which FOMC statements and meeting minutes...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011764553

Japan's liquidity trap

Akram, Tanweer - 2016

Japan has experienced stagnation, deflation, and low interest rates for decades. It is caught in a liquidity trap. This paper examines Japan’s liquidity trap in light of the structure and performance of the country’s economy since the onset of stagnation. It also analyzes the country’s...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011453035

Changes in monetary regimes and the identification of monetary policy shocks : narrative evidence from Canada

Champagne, Julien; Sekkel, Rodrigo - 2017

We use narrative evidence along with a novel database of real-time data and forecasts from the Bank of Canada's staff economic projections from 1974 to 2015 to construct a new measure of monetary policy shocks and estimate the effects of monetary policy in Canada. We show that it is crucial to...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011777945

Fed transparency and policy expectation errors : a text analysis approach

Fischer, Eric; McCaughrin, Rebecca; Prazad, Saketh; … - 2023

This paper seeks to estimate the extent to which market-implied policy expectations could be improved with further information disclosure from the FOMC. Using text analysis methods based on large language models, we show that if FOMC meeting materials with five-year lagged release dates-like...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014440765

Tradeoffs over rate cycles : activity, inflation and the price level

Forbes, Kristin; Ha, Jongrim; Kose, M. Ayhan - 2025

Central banks often face tradeoffs in how their monetary policy decisions impact economic activity (including employment), inflation and the price level. This paper assesses how these tradeoffs have evolved over time and varied across countries, with a focus on understanding the post-pandemic...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015405430

Just words?: a quantitative analysis of the communication of the Central Bank of Brazil

Carvalho, Carlos Viana de; Cordeiro, Fernando; Vargas, … - 2013

We quantify the informational content of statements issued by the interest-rate setting committee of the Central Bank of Brazil (COPOM), building on the methodology developed by Lucca and Trebbi (2011). Using Google search queries, we measure the extent to which each COPOM statement is perceived...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010199541

Narrative monetary policy surprises and the media

Ellen, Saskia ter; Larsen, Vegard Høghaug; Thorsrud, … - 2019 - This version October 4, 2019

communication accompanying interest rate meetings. Our proposed method is fast and simple, and relies on a Singular Value … surprises in central bank communication using this type of data and identification provides surprise measures that are … monetary policy literature associates with the information component of monetary policy communication. Our study highlights the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012214406